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Is My Trading Strategy Actually Worth Trading? The Metrics That Separate Real Edges from Curve-Fit Illusions

Is My Trading Strategy Actually Worth Trading? The Metrics That Separate Real Edges from Curve-Fit Illusions

by Tom Nunamaker | Feb 19, 2026 | Futures trading, Trading

You ran a backtest. The equity curve goes up. The profit factor is above 1. You're ready to trade it live, right? Not so fast. A positive backtest is the beginning of the evaluation process, not the end. Most strategies with good-looking results are the product of...
NinjaTrader Backtesting: Can You Trust Strategy Analyzer or Should You Only Use Market Replay?

NinjaTrader Backtesting: Can You Trust Strategy Analyzer or Should You Only Use Market Replay?

by Tom Nunamaker | Feb 17, 2026 | Futures trading, Trading

There's a claim circulating in the NinjaTrader community that Strategy Analyzer backtests “can't be trusted” and that Market Replay is the only valid way to test a strategy. It sounds reasonable on the surface — Market Replay uses real tick data, so it...

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© 2014 - 2026 Aeromir Corporation. All Rights Reserved.

Aeromir Corporation is NOT a Broker Dealer.
Aeromir Corporation engages in trader education and training. Aeromir Corporation offers a number of products and services via the internet at aeromir.com. Aeromir Corporation offers web-based, interactive training courses on demand and live training.

The meetings, trade alerts, workshops, classes, webinars and seminars given by Aeromir Corporation are for educational purposes only.
This information neither is, nor should be construed, as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell securities. You shall be fully responsible for any investment decision you make, and such decisions will be based solely on your evaluation of your financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
Options, futures and currencies involve risks and are not suitable for all investors.
Prior to buying or selling an option, you must receive a copy of Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options. Copies are available from your broker, by calling 1-888-OPTIONS, or at www.theocc.com. The information on this web site is provided solely for general education and information purposes. No statement should be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell a security or to provide investment advice. You are fully responsible for any investment decisions you make. Such decisions should be based solely on your evaluation of your financial circumstances. Such decisions should be based solely on your evaluation of your financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance and liquidity needs. Supporting documentation for any claims, comparisons, statistics or other technical data in this presentation is available at Aeromir Corporation.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Parameters relating to past performance of strategies discussed are not capable of being duplicated. In order to simplify the computations, slippage, commissions, fees, margin interest and taxes are not included in the examples used on this web site. These costs will impact the outcome of all stock and options transactions and must be considered prior to entering into any transactions. Multiple leg strategies involve multiple commission charges. Brokerage firms may require customers to post higher margins than the minimum margins specified on this web site. Investors should consult their tax advisor about any potential tax consequences. Simulated trading programs are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any portfolio or trade will, or is likely to, achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. All investments and trades carry risks.
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