by Tom Nunamaker | Feb 19, 2026 | Futures trading, Trading
You ran a backtest. The equity curve goes up. The profit factor is above 1. You're ready to trade it live, right? Not so fast. A positive backtest is the beginning of the evaluation process, not the end. Most strategies with good-looking results are the product of...
by Tom Nunamaker | Feb 17, 2026 | Futures trading, Trading
There's a claim circulating in the NinjaTrader community that Strategy Analyzer backtests “can't be trusted” and that Market Replay is the only valid way to test a strategy. It sounds reasonable on the surface — Market Replay uses real tick data, so it...
by Tom Nunamaker | Feb 15, 2026 | Futures trading, Trading
If you trade more than one futures instrument — or you're thinking about it — correlation is one of the most important concepts you need to understand. It affects everything from risk management to position sizing to whether you're actually...
by Tom Nunamaker | Jan 31, 2026 | Options trading, Trading
I've traded more iron condors than I care to count. Thirty days to expiration, weekly, even same-day 0 DTE trades. The iron condor looks attractive on paper. High win rate. Defined risk. Collect premium and wait. Here's the problem nobody talks about until it happens...
by Tom Nunamaker | Aug 3, 2025 | Trading
Let's be blunt: prop firm trading looks like easy money from the outside. Get funded with someone else's capital, make some trades, split the profits. What could go wrong? Well, everything. And I mean everything. Here's the brutal math: only 22% of traders even make...
by Tom Nunamaker | Mar 7, 2025 | News, Options trading, Trading
2025 has started out quite volatile. We have seen very large moves up and down on the market. Let's take a look at how the trade alert services at Aeromir are holding up with these challenging markets. Elephant Shield Trade Alerts The Elephant Shield is a swing...
